Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge.
The one prediction that never comes true is, 'You'll thank me for telling you this.
Me and Paul (Dean) will probably win forty games (they won forty-nine).
Economics was the only profession where a person could be considered an expert without having once been right.
The major problem with most attempts to predict a specific outcome, such as interviews, is decontextualization: the attempt takes place in a generalized environment, as opposed to the context in which a behavior or trait naturally occurs.
We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.
A racing tipster who only reached Hitler's level of accuracy would not do well for his clients.
If the facts are contrary to any predictions, then the hypothesis is wrong no matter how appealing.
We've been astonished by how good groups working together can predict the outcomes of events.
I remember mentioning to friends back in 1938 that the world chess champion would be beaten by a computer in 50 years time. Today we know computers are not far from this goal.
And as we should all know by now, anytime you predict failure you have an excellent chance of being right.
I have yet to see a successful prediction about the physical world that was inferred or extrapolated from the content of any religions document.
The future will show whether my foresight is as accurate now as it has proved heretofore.
Some of what these pamphlets [of astrological forecasts] say will turn out to be true, but most of it time and experience will expose as empty and worthless. The latter part will be forgotten literally: written on the winds while the former will be carefully entered in people's memories, as is usual with the crowd.
We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.
I'm like Muhammed Ali. When he said he would knock someone out in the fourth round, he did it.
The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.
You seem to be drowning twice," said Hermione. "Oh, am I?" said Ron peering down at his predictions. "I'd better change one of them to getting trampled by a rampaging Hippogriff.
Ancient history is oddly short on incorrect omens.
Why did God create economists? To make weather forecasters look good.
I am actually better at predicting or talking about 30 years later than three years.
Nostradamus, who predicted that Billy Bailey would not come home. Never got a dinner!
Till facts are grouped & called there can be no prediction. The only advantage of discovering laws is to foretell what will happen & to see bearing of scattered facts.
People are always saying that prices are too high. When they turn out to be right, we anoint them. When they turn out to be wrong, we ignore them. They are typically right and wrong about half the time.
Economic forecasting has actually got pretty good over the years, though admittedly, we don't always get it right.
