Lewis D. Eigen Quotes

Don’t ignore planning for unlikely events. Over long periods of time the highly improbable gets more probable to occur at least once.

 
Context
Technically, the probability has never changed. However, most probabilities are in relation to a specific event or time. A levee may have only a 1% probably of failing in a hurricane but if there are 10 hurricanes a year, the probability that the levee will fail at least once in 30 years is about 50%.
Citations

Lewis D. Eigen, Political Historical Editor, Associate Director, U. S. Job Corps (Democrat), Scholar & Educator, Businessperson, Scholar & Educator, Director, National Clearinghouse for Alcohol and Drug Information, Member, Board of Directors, National Civil Service League, Technologist, Historian & Writer, Speech, FOSE Knowledge Management Society, 2011

Eigen's Political and Historical Quotations


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  • Born: September 6, 1936
  • Nationality: American
  • Profession: Polymath
Biography

Lewis D. Eigen is the Senior Research Scientist & Chief Technology Officer at BEA Enterprises Inc. based in Potomac, Maryland, USA. He has worked as Mathematician, Psychologist, Technologist. Software Engineer, Government & Corporate Executive (Public & Private Corporations), Educator, Quotation Compiler & Editor. He is the author of 13 books, over 100 research articles and papers, over 500 multi-media training modules and more than a dozen computer products / systems. In government he has served as the First Associate Director of the U. S. Job Corps, the Director of the National Clearinghouse for Alcohol and Drug Information, and as a member of the the Johnson Task Force for the War on Poverty, the MacNamara Commission on Military Transition to Civilian Life, and as a Senior Editor and Peer Reviewer for the National Institutes of Health

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