Alvin Toffler Quotes
Nobody knows the future with certainty. We can, however, identify ongoing patterns of change.
Toffler, Alvin. The Third Wave. Bantam Books, 1980, p. 11.
He does not claim that a prediction may not coincidentally turn out to be accurate—just that the predictor has no certainty whatsoever and at best was guessing and at worse manipulating.
He had standard barometers made and distributed widely, accumulating the data and predicting the weather. Although crude and inaccurate by modern standards, his system was a vast improvement over earlier efforts. Today, we use the term for economics and politics as well.
Alvin Toffler was an American writer, futurist, and businessman known for his works discussing modern technologies, including the digital revolution and the communication revolution, with emphasis on their effects on cultures worldwide. He is regarded as one of the world's outstanding futurists.