Megan McArdle Quotes
Predictions are hard, especially about the future.
Topics
Chance, Fortune, Luck, Probability
Future
Prediction, Predictions
Speculation
Uncertainty
Data Analysis
Extrapolation
Forecasting
Risk Assessment
Unpredictability
Time Frame
Future Prediction
Future Uncertainty
Outcome Prediction
Outcome Uncertainty
Trend Analysis
Unforeseen Events
Time Uncertainty
Related Quotes
He does not claim that a prediction may not coincidentally turn out to be accurate—just that the predictor has no certainty whatsoever and at best was guessing and at worse manipulating.
Megan McArdle is an American journalist, columnist, and blogger based in Washington, D.C. She writes for The Washington Post mostly about economics, finance, and government policy.