Nassim Nicholas Taleb Quotes


We should probably stop trading derivatives, anything more complex than regular options ... I am an options trader, and I don't understand options. How do you want a regulator to understand them?


Citations

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. "Ten Principles for a Black Swan-proof World." Financial Times, 7 Apr. 2009.

Related Quotes

He was referring to Fannie Mae, the government-created. private mortage guarantee company. It was heavily regulated, and in general it met the regulatory requirements. However, the requirements were insufficient, and in the 2008 Meltdown and the Great Recession that followed, Fannie Mae itself was in such bad financial condition, that the Federal Government had bail them out or have the entire home mortgage industry fall apart.


She had warned about the unregulated derivatives 10 years earlier, but to no avail. See {637987}. Then when she had been proven prescient in the Meltdown of 2008, Congress was more interested in how she thought they could prevent future problems with derivatives. Some were adopted but not all. The financial institutions claimed that they needed derivatives to hedge positions and hence “stabilize” the system. Of the members of Congress who voted on this issue, almost none understood derivatives and credit default swaps were and how they worked. But some were sure they were bad, and others were sure that they were necessary for stability. Derivatives can, and did, get so complicated that the people who originally created them sometimes cannot tell whether they are at risk or not. Even computer cannot calculate the value and risks of these instruments because the values and risks depend on what happens to other companies or instruments which themselves have derivatives insuring them. See {620038} for a good description of the difficulty.


Modern finance is so complex and convoluted, that any laws or regulations that government makes are quickly evaded by even more complex and convoluted schemes which the legislators and regulators have to try and control. By the time they learn and understand and finally develop measures to regulate those, the cycle starts again. Hence the “fool’s errand”


Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Born:
  • Nationality: Lebanese, American
  • Profession: Scientist

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (/ˈtɑːləb/; alternatively Nessim or Nissim; born 1960) is a Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, mathematical statistician, and former option trader and risk analyst, whose work concerns problems of randomness, probability, and uncertainty. His 2007 book The Black Swan has been described by The Sunday Times as one of the twelve most influential books since World War II.