C. S. Lewis Quotes

A reasonable probability is the only certainty.

A pinch of probability is worth a pound of perhaps.

Probability is the very guide of life.

If we do everything right, if we do it with absolute certainty, there's still a 30% chance we're going to get it wrong.

Probability is expectation founded upon partial knowledge. A perfect acquaintance with all the circumstances affecting the occurrence of an event would change expectation into certainty, and leave nether room nor demand for a theory of probabilities.

Sometimes the probabilities are very close to certainties, but they're never really certainties.

Probability is not a mere computation of odds on the dice or more complicated variants; it is the acceptance of the lack of certainty in our knowledge and the development of methods for dealing with our ignorance.

All inquires carry with them some element of risk. There is no guarantee that the universe will conform to our predispositions.

Many things are possible. Few things are certain.

Statistics were magic like this: they could tell you with near-certainty that a thing would occur, without a hint of when or where.

Whatever way uncertainty is approached, probability is the only sound way to think about it.

Skill is a function of chance. It’s an intuitive best-use of chance situations.

A bird in the hand is worth more than a Bush.

It is scientific only to say what is more likely and what less likely, and not to be proving all the time the possible and impossible.

I think maybe it is better to believe than not to believe. But I couldn't tell you why.

If we define risk as 'the likelihood of an irreversible negative outcome,' inaction is the greatest risk of all.

I'm not willing to put a percentage on the chances but I will no longer rule it out.

Risk is the salt and sugar of life.

The grand assertion is that you must see the world through probability and that probability is the only guide you need.

Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.

Even though there are no ways of knowing for sure, there are ways of knowing for pretty sure.

It is dangerous to attach probability zero to anything other than a logical impossibility.

One would appear ridiculous who would say, that it is only probable the sun will rise to-morrow, or that all men must die; thoughit is plain we have no further assurance of these facts than what experience affords us.

There's good chances and bad chances, and nobody's luck is pulled only by one string.

Risk is the price you pay for opportunity.