H. D. Kumaraswamy Quotes

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.

I know that a lot of people love to say that polls are wrong or don't matter, and from time to time they are - it depends on who they are polling.

Opinion polls are not worth the paper they are written on, in my view, through the conference season. They don't settle down again until November.

While data can only tell you what has happened in the past, it can in some ways give you a sense of what might be of interest to an audience in the future.

I'm a believer in the polls, by the way. Rarely do you see a poll that's very far off.

You'd think experienced political professionals would know better than to place their trust in exit polls, notoriously inaccurate surveys that had John Kerry winning the 2004 election by five points when he actually lost by three.

Economic forecasting has actually got pretty good over the years, though admittedly, we don't always get it right.

Like any poll, it depends on the ethnicity of the person asking the questions and the nature of the questions.

Let me tell you the polls that count, and those are the polls a couple of weeks before the election. That's when the pollsters worry about holding onto their credibility. Those are the polls that everybody remembers.

One should be weary of drawing too many inferences from a single poll. You can find wildly disparate results with two different polls. There is no question that American Muslims remain one of the most marginalized and demonized groups in United States. There has been a sustained propaganda campaign against Muslims for over a decade and it doesn't disappear over night. Those attitudes are hardened. But one of the things that polling often doesn't measure is the intensity of opinions.

Why do I think the polls were wrong? People were relying on the pollsters. There was "the Brexit Effect." I think there's a Trump Effect, too. I think people are lying to the pollsters about Trump. There isn't any question about it.

Something even minor I do is going to be reported because of things that have happened in the past. You have to be aware of that.

Machine learning signicantly enhances the ability to predict where and when crimes are more likely to happen and who may commit them.

We have had imperfect leaders in the past, and we will have imperfect leaders in the future.

Early polls mean nothing.

At some point, people have to come out of the penalty box for the things they have done in the past.

The ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year – and to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn’t happen.

Economics is a highly sophisticated field of thought that is superb at explaining to policymakers precisely why the choices they made in the past were wrong. About the future, not so much.

Pundits are no better at forecasting election outcomes than they would be at predicting the final path of a hurricane. Smart pundits should consider either abandoning this activity or consulting with the geeks before rendering their guesses.

I made some choices that weren't right in the past. It cost me in terms of my confidence and everything.

New Hampshire polling data are unreliable because, when you call the Granite State's registered Republicans and independents in the middle of dinner and ask them who they're going to vote for, they have a mouth full of mashed potatoes and you can't understand what they say.

The pollsters and pundits will keep trying to read voters' minds.

When you face up to bad things in the past, the most important thing is not to allow them to happen today or in the future, and as storytellers, we must play our part in that.

The errors in media polling rarely benefit a Republican.

If many things in the past have gone wrong in the lives of men and in the lives of their communities, it is because both small- and large-scale activities were blundered into without any thought or vision of universal planning.