Barry Ritholtz Quotes
Even when you are right, there are costs and taxes associated with being tactical. When you are wrong, there are opportunity costs.
Ritholtz, Barry. "The Folly of Tactical Investing." Bloomberg View, Bloomberg L.P., 28 Aug. 2014.
Technically, the probability has never changed. However, most probabilities are in relation to a specific event or time. A levee may have only a 1% probably of failing in a hurricane but if there are 10 hurricanes a year, the probability that the levee will fail at least once in 30 years is about 50%.
See {630440} for an earlier English human relations statement of the idea.
Barry Ritholtz is an American author, newspaper columnist, blogger, equities analyst, CIO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, and guest commentator on Bloomberg Television. Ritholtz is the host of the Bloomberg Podcast Masters in Business in which he interviews influential figures on markets, investing and business. He is also a former contributor to CNBC and TheStreet.com.