Allan Lichtman Quotes
Even if I am being conservative, I don't see how Obama can lose.
Blake, Aaron. "Professor Who Has Predicted Every Election Since 1984 Says Obama Will Win in 2012." The Washington Post, 26 Aug. 2011.
Utley made the statement on election night of 1948 when HG Kaltenborn and must other pundits observed that Truman’s early lead was not big enough to overcome the results of the rural precincts which were slower to report and most assumed went heavily for Dewey. Utley, however, had conducted his own exit poll in the Chicago region and found that people who supported Dewey, when they got into the voting booth just could not support him. He appears to be the first journalist to call the election for Truman.
Kristol’s reputation as a political pundit suffered as a result of this assertion. However, Kristol was a very astute observer of the political scene; it indicates how remote Obama’s chances were believed to be even in 2006. Kristol was not alone in his view, just more bold in asserting it.
Allan Jay Lichtman is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, D.C. since 1973.
