Nassim Nicholas Taleb Quotes
Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients and yet events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.
Topics
Opportunity
Uncertainty
Mistakes, Errors, Misjudgments
Risk-management
Strategic Planning
Unexpected Events
Unpredictability
Political
Disruptive Events
Economic Uncertainty
Financial Risk
Market Volatility
Scenario Analysis
Surprise Events
Unforeseen Circumstances
Unforeseen Outcomes
Black Swan
Prediction Failure
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb (/ˈtɑːləb/; alternatively Nessim or Nissim; born 1960) is a Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, mathematical statistician, and former option trader and risk analyst, whose work concerns problems of randomness, probability, and uncertainty. His 2007 book The Black Swan has been described by The Sunday Times as one of the twelve most influential books since World War II.