Vernor Vinge Quotes

Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence.

By definition, the Singularity means that machines would be smarter than us, and, in their wisdom, they can innovate new technologies. The innovations would come so quickly, and increasingly quickly, that the innovation would make Moore's Law seem as antiquated as Hammurabi's Code.

Supercomputers will achieve one human brain capacity by 2010, and personal computers will do so by about 2020.

Artificial intelligence will reach human levels by around 2029. Follow that out further to, say, 2045, we will have multiplied the intelligence, the human biological machine intelligence of our civilization a billion-fold.

I believe that at the end of the century the use of words and general educated opinion will have altered so much that one will be able to speak of machines thinking without expecting to be contradicted.

My own suspicion is that a stand-alone artificial mind will be more a tool of narrow utility than something especially apocalyptic.

It struck me deep in my mind. Some day, the chip is going to surpass mankind's brain.

If you ask people whether a computer can be smarter than a human, 99.9 percent will say that's science fiction. Actually, it's inevitable. It's guaranteed to happen.

I am patiently waiting for the singularity.

'Detroit' started based on a book called 'The Singularity is Near' by Ray Kurzweil, which is about this idea that one day there could be machines that are more intelligent than we are.

If our era is the next Industrial Revolution, as many claim, AI is surely one of its driving forces.

Our computers double in capability on time scales of only a few years. It's hardly outrageous to believe that we will successfully develop thinking machines within a handful of decades, or at most a century or two. If that happens, these artificial sentients will quickly leave us behind.

And we should keep our minds open, or at least ajar, to concepts on the fringe of science fiction. Flaky American futurologists aren't always wrong. They remind us that a superintelligent machine is the last instrument that humans may ever design - the machine will itself take over in making further steps.

How will the approach of the Singularity spread across the human world view?

By the 2030s, the nonbiological portion of our intelligence will predominate.

Since the rise of Homo sapiens, human beings have been the smartest minds around. But very shortly - on a historical scale, that is - we can expect technology to break the upper bound on intelligence that has held for the last few tens of thousands of years.

The big question society will have to answer is whether it wants computers thinking like humans.

Artificial intelligence is always 20 years away.

We believe the singularity is inevitable, and all businesses will be redefined as computers overtake humans in intelligence.

Once computers can program, they basically take over technological progress because already, today, the majority of technological progress is run by software, by programming.

I'm fascinated by artificial intelligence.

I don't think love for technology itself breeds change.

As Irving Good realised in 1965, machines with superhuman intelligence could repeatedly improve their design even further, triggering what Vernor Vinge called a 'singularity.'

When people speak of creating superhumanly intelligent beings, they are usually imagining an AI project.

I have argued above that we cannot prevent the Singularity, that its coming is an inevitable consequence of the humans' natural competitiveness and the possibilities inherent in technology.